Muscat: The tropical system over the Arabian Sea is now classified as Deep Depression and could move towards becoming a Tropical Storm, but it might not have an impact on Oman because of another feature of the Arabian Sea that is a trait of the current season – the monsoon.
The National Multi Hazards Early Warning Center reported today the formation of Tropical Depression system at southeast of the Arabian Sea located at longitude 71.0 degrees East and latitude 12.0 degrees North with estimated surface wind speed around the center ranging between 28 to 32 knots and away from the Sultanate’s coast, Ras Madrakah, with approximate distance of 1,600 km.
If the wind speed around the centre of the depression reaches 34 knots or more it indicates the system has intensified into a tropical storm and then after the system will be named. It is India’s turn to name the next storm and the name on the list is – ‘Vayu’ if the current system develops into a tropical system.
“It could happen within 24 hours,” said a weather expert.
Speaking to the weather expert at Oman Met Office, Public Authority of Civil Aviation (PACA), the low pressure being developed over the Arabian Sea continues to be far away from Oman. “The low pressure is about 1600 km away from the Sultanate. It is now located south east coast of India. For now it is heading north – northwest. We are observing the system.”
The First Weather Report on the system had said numerical weather prediction indicates a movement of the tropical depression towards north to north west direction along the western coasts of India with a probability of further intensification into a deep depression (28-33 knots) within the coming 24 hours and a tropical storm (34 to 63 knots) within the coming 48 hours.
According to the Met Office there could be no impact on the coastal areas of Oman in the next three days.
However this is also the season for the monsoon that is also developed over the Arabian Sea. According to the weather expert, the monsoon is not a helping factor for tropical storms.
“Monsoon is not helpful for tropical systems. When the monsoon starts it weakens all tropical systems. This is a key factor. The Arabian Sea coast in Oman and Yemen are already going through pre-monsoon wind which could prevent the tropical system to move towards these areas,” the experts pointed out.