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Oil rises on tighter supply but US factory data weighs

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LONDON: Oil prices rose on Tuesday as investors expect US sanctions on Venezuela and production cuts led by Opec and its allies to head off any glut, but data showing a decline in US factory orders weighed on the market.


The supply optimism helped US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent crude reach 2019 highs on Monday.


WTI futures were up 46 cents, or 0.84 per cent, at $55.02 per barrel by 0940 GMT. They touched their highest level in more than two months at $55.75 the previous day.


International Brent crude futures were up 33 cents, or 0.53 per cent, at $62.84 a barrel, down from a high of $63.63.


Trading proceeded at lower volumes in parts of East Asia due to the Lunar New Year holiday.


The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, including Russia, agreed to production cuts effective this month to forestall an overhang.


The oil industry generally believes the curbs will help balance the market in 2019.


“You’ll see Opec disciplined and therefore prices look fairly robust around where they are”, BP CFO Brian Gilvary said, adding that he expected demand growth of 1.3 to 1.4 million bpd in 2019 — similar to 2018.


Analysts said US sanctions on Venezuela had focused market attention on tighter global supplies.


“Fresh US sanctions on the country could see 0.5-1 per cent of global supply curtailed,” said Vivek Dhar, mining and energy analyst at Commonwealth Bank of Australia.


The sanctions will sharply limit oil transactions between Venezuela and other countries and are similar to, but slightly less extensive than, those imposed on Iran last year, experts said on Friday, after looking at details posted by the Treasury Department.


Meanwhile, a survey found that supply from Opec states had fallen the most in two years, as Saudi Arabia and its Gulf Arab allies over-delivered on pledged cuts, while Iran, Libya and Venezuela registered involuntary declines. — Reuters


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