China soybean prices spike as trade war worries feed supply fears

BEIJING: China’s soybean and soymeal prices jumped the most since 2008 as data showing a drop in soybean imports stirred supply concerns as a bitter trade dispute between Washington and Beijing plays out.
Soybean prices in the world’s leading soy importer notched up their biggest daily gain in a decade after customs data showed arrivals fell from June. The falling arrivals came as processors ended months of buying to build supplies before tariffs took effect.
Beijing hit US shipments of soybeans with a 25 per cent tariff on July 6 in retaliation for a similar move by Washington as part of the tit-for-tat trade dispute.
While domestic inventories remain near record highs after crushers built up stockpiles of Brazilian beans ahead of the tariff deadline, analysts said the fall in imports kindled worries about supplies in the fourth quarter when the Brazilian crop is sold out and the next US harvest starts.
The United States is China’s No 2 supplier of soybeans, which are processed to make cooking oil and animal feed, after Brazil.
“Now we are getting close to the US soybean season, (in September) news like the trade war escalation and falling imports will have a bigger impact on prices,” said Pan Tiantian, analyst with Zheshang Futures.
— Reuters