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Bolsonaro’s Israel embassy move invites high risks

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RIO DE JANEIRO: In announcing his intention to move Brazil’s embassy in Israel to Jerusalem, President-elect Jair Bolsonaro may please his evangelical support base, but would break with a half century of diplomacy.


In following the lead of his US counterpart Donald Trump, the incoming president of would not only isolate the country diplomatically but also run the risk of provoking commercial retaliation from Arab states, some of which are major importers of Brazilian meat.


“Brazil has been supporting a two-state solution for Israel and Palestine for more than 50 years and this decision could throw all those efforts into the bin,” said Guilherme Casaroes, a political science professor at the Getulio Vargas Foundation think-tank.


Israel’s annexation of east Jerusalem following the 1967 Six-Day War with Egypt, Syria and Jordan, has never been internationally recognised.


The United Nations maintains an ambiguous position over any eventual final status for the sacred city — cherished by the three major Abrahamic religions — but a 1947 resolution says it should become a “corpus separatum,” run independently of either Israel or the Palestinians.


To that end, no embassies should be established there until a solution has been agreed upon by both sides.


That was the line followed by Brasilia until Bolsonaro won a second-round run-off election against leftist candidate Fernando Haddad on October 28. He will be inaugurated as Brazil’s president on January 1.


“For me, it’s just about respecting the decisions of a sovereign nation,” Bolsonaro said in a television interview on Monday. However, he performed an almost Trumpian about-turn on Tuesday by insisting that “it hasn’t been decided yet.”


Were he to abandon that controversial plan, he would risk alienating the religious support that helped propel the far-right Bolsonaro to a commanding victory with 55 per cent of the vote.


And for them, the status of Jerusalem is sacrosanct.


The most conservative evangelicals see Israel as “the centre of all history,” a sort of ideal, to which “there is an attachment and a need to defend Israel as a chosen people,” said Ronilso Pacheco, a theological researcher at Rio de Janeiro’s PUC Catholic University.


“That’s an extremely literal reading of the Bible without taking into account context, history.”


Brazilian evangelicals follow Christian Zionism, the belief that the return of the Jews to the Holy Land in 1948 with the establishment of the state of Israel was in accordance with a biblical prophecy announcing the return of the Messiah.


Although born into a Catholic family, Bolsonaro married an evangelical Christian and went to Israel in 2016 to be baptized in the River Jordan by a pastor.


However, piety is not the only reason for Bolsonaro to move the embassy, much to the delight of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.


“On top of the symbolic value for evangelicals, this measure shows a desire to break from a traditional foreign policy based on multilateral relationships,” said Monica Herz, professor at PUC’s international relations institute. — Reuters


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