WASHINGTON: US home sales unexpectedly rose in November, but recorded their biggest annual decline in 7½ years as the housing market remained mired in weakness amid higher mortgage rates which have made home purchases more expensive.
There are concerns that the persistent housing market weakness could spill over to the broader economy, which continues to be bolstered by robust consumer spending. The Federal Reserve raised interest on Wednesday for the fourth time this year and forecast fewer rate hikes next year.
The US central bank made no mention of the housing market in a statement accompanying its rate decision.
“The trend in housing is clearly slowing as affordability takes a bite,” said Jennifer Lee, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets in Toronto.
The National Association of Realtors said existing home sales increased 1.9 per cent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.32 million units last month. October’s sales pace was unrevised at 5.22 million units.
Sales have now increased for two straight months. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast existing home sales falling 0.6 per cent to a rate of 5.20 million units in November.
But in November, existing home sales, which make up about 90 per cent of US home sales, tumbled 7.0 per cent from a year ago, the largest annual drop since May 2011.
Sales are down 2.3 per cent in the first 11 months of 2018 compared to the same period last year.
In addition to the higher mortgage rates, the housing market is being constrained by land and labour shortages, which have led to tight inventory. Though house price inflation has slowed significantly, it continues to outpace wage growth, sidelining some first-time homebuyers.
A survey on Monday showed confidence among single-family home-builders dropped to more than a 3½ year low in December. Single-family homebuilding dropped to a 1½ year trough in November, government data showed on Tuesday.
The dollar trimmed losses against of a basket of currencies after the Fed’s rate decision, while US Treasury prices were mostly higher. Stocks on Wall Street gave up earlier gains.
A separate report from the Mortgage Bankers Association on Wednesday showed applications for loans to purchase a home tumbled almost 7 per cent last week from the previous week.
The decrease in applications came despite the 30-year fixed mortgage rate falling to a three-month low. But at 4.63 per cent, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is more than 60 basis points higher than it was at the end of 2017.
Last month, existing home sales rose in the Northeast, Midwest and populous South. They fell in the West, which the NAR said was experiencing a marked shift from very fast sales and exorbitant prices to slowing demand and price growth.
There were 1.74 million previously owned homes on the market in November, up from 1.67 million a year ago. The inventory crunch is easing as demand moderates especially in the West, which had seen intense bidding wars. — Reuters
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