Stocks slip to 4-week low as higher US rates bite

TOKYO: Asian shares slipped to four-week lows on Monday as the prospect of higher US interest rates and a strong dollar stemming from the incoming Trump Administration’s purported policies of cutting taxes and spending heavily threatened to suck capital out of emerging markets.
European shares are seen having better luck, following recent gains in shares of banks, resource companies and some automakers.
Spread-betters see a rise of about 0.1 per cent in the main indexes including Britain’s FTSE, Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan dipped 0.3 per cent to a four-week low. It has lost 3.7 per cent since Trump was elected.
Leading the losses, Hong Kong shares hit a four-month low as the Hong Kong dollar soared in line with the US dollar to which it is pegged, and after insurance shares were hit by a Chinese regulator’s warnings.
In addition, investors turned cautious after China’s top leaders vowed over the weekend to stem asset bubbles in 2017 and place greater importance on the prevention of financial risk Japan’s Nikkei, which has benefited from the yen’s sharp fall against the dollar, snapped its nine-day winning streak, dipping 0.1 per cent from Friday’s one-year high.
“I think the markets’ trend will continue. Share prices will edge higher and so will bond yields. The dollar will remain strong. One key question is whether the Dow Jones will hit the 20,000 mark,” said Koichi Yoshikawa, executive director of financial markets at Standard Chartered Bank in Tokyo.
The Dow Jones industrial average ended down 0.04 per cent to 19,843.41 on Friday, while the S&P 500 lost 0.18 per cent to 2,258.07.
Financial markets briefly turned “risk-off” in late US trade on Friday following news that a Chinese Navy warship had seized a US underwater drone in international waters in the South China Sea.
The diplomatic incident appears to have been resolved for now after the two countries said on Saturday that China will return the drone.
Still, doubts on the future of Sino-US relations with Trump in the White House could eventually cast a shadow on financial markets, some market players say.
Trump has previously threatened to declare China a currency manipulator and force changes in US-Chinese trade policy, which he described as leading to the theft of American jobs.
“Their relations seem to be getting worse. Towards Trump’s inauguration next month, we could see more volatility in the yuan,” said Kenta Tadaide, senior economist at Mizuho Research. “If the yuan hits 7 per dollar, that would attract a lot of attention,” he added.
The yuan was little moved in Asia, firming slightly from Friday’s 8 1/2-year low of 6.9616 to the dollar.
Diplomacy aside, many Asian shares have been hit by higher US rates and a stronger dollar, which was sparked by expectations that Trump’s planned fiscal spending and tax cuts will fuel growth and inflation.
The 10-year US Treasuries yield stood at 2.584 per cent in Asia on Monday, near its two-year high of 2.641 per cent touched on Thursday.
As higher US yields shore up the dollar, the dollar’s index against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies jumped to a 14-year high of 103.56 last week, though it gave up some gains to profit-taking on Monday.
The index last stood at 102.68.
The euro traded at $1.0459, bouncing ruaryback from last week’s low of $1.03665, its weakest since January 2003.
The dollar traded at 117.32 yen, down 0.5 per cent on the day and off on Thursday’s 10-1/2-month high of 118.66.
The Bank of Japan started its two-day policy meeting on Monday.
It is widely expected to hold its policy, including its twin targets of minus 0.10 per cent interest on a part of excess reserves and the zero per cent 10-year government bond yield. — Reuters